SEMINAR

Climate Resilience and Strategic Preparedness: Safeguarding Pakistan’s Security Interests

March 7, 2024

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president

Air Marshal Asim Suleiman (Retd)

SEMINAR COORDINATOR

Ameer Abdullah Khan

EDITOR

Jawad Zulfiqar

RAPPORTEURS

Mustafa Bilal, Faiza Abid & Tayyab Ali

Executive Summary

The seminar titled, “Climate Resilience and Strategic Preparedness, Safeguarding Pakistan’s Security Interests” was aimed at providing a platform for experts to delve into the intricate relationship between climate change and national security. The event aimed to shed light on the challenges faced by Pakistan in the wake of global climate change and also explore how these challenges could potentially threaten state security and social cohesion.

 

The seminar commenced with opening remarks by Mr Ameer Abdullah Khan, a Senior Researcher at CASS, Lahore. Mr Khan set the stage by highlighting the various ways in which climate change intertwines with the national security of Pakistan. He emphasised the urgency of the situation, pointing out that climate change is not just an environmental concern but a critical determinant of global and national security in the 21st Century requiring a non-traditional response.

 

Mr Ali Tauqeer Sheikh, a member of the Loss & Damage Fund Board, and Pakistan Climate Change Council delivered the keynote address on “Strategic Preparedness in the Face of Ecological Uncertainty: Policies & Priorities from Global to Domestic Levels.” Mr Sheikh’s address focused on the importance of proactive measures and structural transformations to address climate challenges and enhance national well-being in Pakistan.

 

Mr Sheikh highlighted the dual nature of climate change as both a security threat and a development opportunity. He stressed the significance of climate readiness for climate-smart development, with vulnerability, adaptation, and resilience at the core of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) agenda. Mr Sheikh also underscored the economic opportunities that responses to climate change can catalyse, citing examples from countries like India and China where investments in renewable energy have driven economic growth and technological advancements.

 

He emphasised the urgency of addressing climate change promptly to avoid significant economic losses and risks to Pakistan’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). He called for a thorough analysis and immediate action to combat climate change effectively, pointing out that delays in taking action could have severe consequences for the country’s economy and well-being. Mr Sheikh also touched upon the importance of rethinking urban planning and housing equity to prevent land grabbing and ensure housing for all segments of the population. He criticised the lack of prioritisation of urban planning and governance failures in providing essential amenities to underserved areas, highlighting the need for strategic urban development to build climate-resilient cities.

 

Mr Ahmad Rafay Alam, an environmental lawyer and activist, in his thought-provoking address during the seminar, focusing on governance-related challenges that augment climate-induced threats to Pakistan’s security. Alam highlighted the critical role of governance structures in shaping climate policies, ensuring accountability, and fostering sustainable development. Drawing on his expertise in environmental law and policy, Alam emphasised the need for inclusive and participatory governance mechanisms that engage diverse stakeholders in climate resilience initiatives. He also underscored the importance of strategic sustainability insights in guiding policy decisions and promoting environmental stewardship at the national and sub-national levels.

 

Ms Sara Hayat, an environmental lawyer, climate change specialist, and sustainability consultant, shared valuable insights on climate adaptation and mitigation strategies as a pathway to a sustainable future for Pakistan. Hayat’s address focused on the imperative of integrating climate considerations into development planning, infrastructure projects, and policy frameworks to enhance resilience and reduce vulnerability to climate risks. She emphasised the role of legal frameworks, regulatory mechanisms, and institutional capacities in advancing climate resilience and fostering sustainable development outcomes. Hayat’s expertise in climate change law and policy underscored the interconnectedness between environmental sustainability, social equity, and economic prosperity, highlighting the need for holistic approaches to address climate challenges in Pakistan.

 

Alam and Hayat’s addresses complemented each other by offering nuanced perspectives on governance, policy, and legal dimensions of climate resilience. Their insights underscored the importance of multi-stakeholder collaboration, innovative solutions, and adaptive strategies in navigating the complex challenges posed by climate change and safeguarding Pakistan’s security interests in a rapidly changing climate landscape.

 

The Q&A session provided an interactive platform for attendees to engage with the speakers and delve deeper into the complexities of climate resilience and strategic preparedness in safeguarding Pakistan’s security interests. Attendees raised a diverse range of questions, reflecting the multifaceted nature of the challenges posed by climate change and the need for comprehensive strategies to address them effectively.

 

Firstly, they explored the challenges of policy implementation and governance structures in driving effective climate action at both national and sub-national levels. Secondly, attention was drawn to the availability and allocation of climate finance in Pakistan, with concerns raised about its adequacy for supporting climate-resilient initiatives and the necessity for bolstered international cooperation in this realm. Additionally, discussions highlighted the crucial role of community engagement and stakeholder participation in shaping climate policies, stressing the importance of inclusive approaches involving local communities and civil society organisations. Furthermore, attendees expressed interest in the potential of technology and innovation to bolster climate resilience and sustainable development, particularly through green technologies and data-driven solutions. Lastly, there was a consensus on the significance of international collaboration and knowledge sharing in addressing transboundary climate impacts and fostering global solidarity against climate change.

 

In his concluding remarks, Air Marshal Asim Suleiman (Retd), President, CASS Lahore, said that despite contributing minimally to global greenhouse gas emissions, Pakistan has endured the harsh realities of climate change. He highlighted that the crisis does not stop at natural disasters, rather it extends to straining the economy, political stability, and social fabric of Pakistan, besides intensifying regional tensions. The President acknowledged Pakistan’s initiatives to combat climate change, however, he stressed the need for international cooperation, considering this to be a shared endeavour.

Key Takeaways

  • Climate Change and National Security

Climate change is a national security concern and a threat multiplier which can contribute to civil unrest, political instability, economic productivity loss, displacement, and migration threatening the security of Pakistan, so limiting the global temperature rise below 1 degree Celsius is our critical national security interest.

 

  • Trans-boundary Climate Disasters

Floods, droughts, heat waves, sea water incursion and cyclones are major climate induced challenges of trans-boundary nature which can trigger the drivers of conflicts in Pakistan thus necessitating international cooperation and climate diplomacy mainly with Afghanistan and India.

 

  • International Agreements

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Paris Climate Agreement are crucial instruments for addressing climate challenge but need significant restructuring to ensure climate justice for the developing nations that have minimum contribution in greenhouse gases emissions.

 

  • Climate Change and Governance

Effects of climate induced disasters are amplified due to the lack of climate-resilient governance structures pertaining to urban planning, budgetary allocations, investment strategies,
construction codes, centralised planning mechanisms, etc.

 

  • Gender and Climate Change

Climate change poses a different and disproportional threat to both genders but women are particularly more vulnerable to adverse effects of climate change due to economic and cultural aspects.

 

  • Adaptation and Mitigation

Making Pakistan climate resilient through greenhouse gases emissions mitigation and implementing adaptation measures tailored to its unique socio-political and ecological needs is the only way forward to a secure and sustainable future.

Policy Considerations

  • Establish Dedicate Institute

The federal government through the Ministry of Climate Change and Environmental Coordination should create a dedicated authority to oversee disaster preparedness and resilience efforts, enhancing coordination and response mechanisms.

 

  • Climate Diplomacy

The Ministry of Climate Change and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs should take a coordinated approach to increase international climate financing and green technology transfers through a robust climate diplomacy campaign, based on the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities.

 

  • Climate Smart Agriculture

The department of agriculture and other stakeholder institutions should develop adaptive strategies for climate smart cropping patterns and other agriculture practices to ensure food security and agricultural sustainability amid changing weather patterns, shrinking water availability and climate-induced disasters.

 

  • Mainstream Climate in Development

The government needs to devise strategies for integrating climate risk assessments into development planning for various sectors such as agriculture, water management, urban planning, and construction. There is a need to incorporate climate-smart strategies and monitoring mechanisms into all stages of project development.

 

  • Collaborate for Climate Resilience

A well-coordinated, whole-of-the-government approach is required for developing efficient climate resilience by taking on board all levels and agencies of government as well as private sector and civil society with fully funded local governments at the forefront.

 

  • Women Inclusive Decision Making

Effective adaptation and mitigation strategies and sustainable development require the inclusion of women in decision making processes at all levels for which disaster management authorities and other relevant departments should devise framework for gender-inclusive policies and mechanisms.

 

  • Climate Awareness

Climate action and social change must hinge upon awareness and data-driven scientific knowledge for which education departments and other stakeholders should take appropriate measure to incorporate knowledge about climate change into curriculum supplemented by awareness campaigns initiated with the help of civil society.

CASS LAhore

The Centre for Aerospace & Security Studies (CASS) was established in July 2021 to inform policymakers and the public about issues related to aerospace and security from an independent, non-partisan and future-centric analytical lens.

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